The Willamette River Bridge Advisory Committee meets Thursday to look at the three bridge finalists: a cable-stay, a refined cable-stay, and the Miguel Rosales hybrid concept. Actually, you could call it four finalists: the cable-stay has a 2-pier option and a 4-pier option.
Let's break things down from there.
First, height: the two traditional cable-stay options (pictured below) would produce bridges of either 277 feet or 254 feet (for the 4 pier or the 2-pier option). The refined cable-stay option and the hybrid (pictured above) would each, on the other hand, be 180 feet tall. And we want this bridge to be not so tall.
To be fair to TriMet, which seems interested in using a version of the traditional cable-stay bridge for its greater track record and familiarity, has found an option in the refined cable-stay that achieves the same lower height as the hybrid that gained favor with the public, city leaders and design community.
In terms of aesthetics beside height, the refined cable-stay would also have a different, arguably more contemporary look from the other two cable-stay options, with open-ended V-shaped columns. However, the V shape is common in bridge design today, evidenced by projects around the world with that look. The V look might be attractive to many, but it's not unique.
The refined cable stayed bridge is mainly a bad copy of the hybrid bridge with the added problem of the inclined towers, which are very inefficient and counterintuitive. Why would you incline the tower toward the walkways and encroach into the space of pedestrians and bicyclists which is already at a premium?
Some readers have taken issue with my frequent use of the phrase "cookie-cutter" to describe the cable-stay options. After all, if a cable-stay type can be built for this Willamette crossing without any more unwanted height than the Rosales hybrid, why be so against it? And indeed it's true: you can make an excellent bridge out of a common type.
But the hybrid is actually different in that it was designed specifically for this site, for this crossing. It takes the forms of the other bridges into account, such as the geometry of the adjacent Ross Island and Marquam. It's rare in this era to get a bridge uniquely tailored for the site, but the hybrid is it.
One can't easily discern the differences between the hybrid and the cable stay in small JPEG photos like those posted here. It's a matter of nuance. But ask most people in the design community and they'll tell you the hybrid is a better fit. The Portland Design Commission wrote a letter of support for Rosales' hybrid concept.
Now, let's look at cost. TriMet will soon announce the following estimates for the three main bridge types:
cable-stay (4-pier): $82.66 million
refined cable-stay: $89.23 million
hybrid: $112.78 million
The transit agency's numbers for the first two, the cable-stay and refined cable-stay, are probably sound. As noted by TriMet in previous releases, they used the National Constructors Group (NCG) for an independent cost estimate to build the wave frame and cable-stayed bridge type. The NCG has been used by government agencies throughout the U.S. to do independent analysis on the cost to build major infrastructure, including bridges. What's more, they are familiar with cable-stay bridges. But perhaps I shouldn't say "they," becuase the NCG estimates are really only done by one self-employed guy in San Francisco, who is also reportedly a good friend of the Willamette bridge's main engineer from
HNTB, a retired engineer who works out of his house and doesn't even have a website.
Conflict of interest? I'm just asking.
The hybrid funding estimate is also (or maybe I should say "therefore") very debatable. According to a source I spoke with on the condition of anonymity, TriMet is estimating 25 percent greater cost for the hybrid when in reality it's probably something more like 10 percent. And as previously mentioned, Miguel Rosales and his team told Portland Spaces they have not been contacted for any detailed info on the hybrid.
When the Rosales and Partners/Schlaich Bergermann und Partner team estimated the costs of their own hybrid proposal, they came up with $93 million. That's a BIG difference from the $112 or even $119 million estimates given by people outside the design group, all of whom have not contacted Rosales or Schlaich Bergermann for cost info.
Let's put it this way: In this stage of the design process, no matter who is doing the cost estimating, you can create a cost estimate for this bridge that is somewhere between 80 percent and 120 percent of what the actual cost will be. It's all just guesswork, but within that lies the opportunity to fudge the "estimate" in whichever direction fits the choice you already want to make.
To give this process real integrity, the city should hire a completely independent cost estimator.
What's more, the source points out that the refined cable-stay's V-shaped form could easily wind up taller than the estimated 180 feet. The incline of the spires reduces the stiffness of the cables and therefore their ability to provide structural support. That means more steel cable is required to achieve the same stiffness as there would be with vertical towers.
I'd be happy to offer TriMet a chance to refute this. But instead of refuting the info I'm passing on, they might want to start by checking their numbers on the hybrid with the hybrid's designers.
Ultimately, though, I worry it's just not in the cards for Portland to get a uniquely tailored bridge as long as TriMet is in charge of the process. These are not bad people. TriMet does a lot of good things in Portland. More than practically any of our buildings, the city's design emblem is its mass transit system, particularly MAX and the streetcar. But TriMet is a transit agency. They are not seekers of great bridges for the city often called "Bridgetown". Their task is to build a bridge for MAX across the Willamette with as little risk and surprise as possible.
Perhaps t do something great, we need leadership at the City level and from a constituency of citizens demanding that design excellence be a priority.
Recent Comments